Tag: Michael Gunter

European Move Toward Lebanon as Beirut Awaits Israeli Election Results

Lebanon is awaiting the results of the Israeli elections and their potential implications. Official Lebanese sources indicate that no major political or military developments are expected this month. Negotiations are likely to remain frozen, but communication between the Lebanese presidency and certain established channels within the US administration continues, helping prevent further deterioration in the security situation. Meanwhile, a new development concerning southern Lebanon has...

Turkish–Israeli Relations: Two Societies Apart

In the 1990s, Turkey and Israel described their partnership as a strategic alliance. Their militaries trained together, their intelligence services shared information, their businessmen discovered each other's markets, and hundreds of thousands of Israeli tourists made Antalya and Istanbul their favorite destinations. Three decades later, the same two states regard each other with suspicion bordering on hostility, and in some Turkish and Israeli policy...
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The Fragile Turkish-PKK Peace Process

The Fragile Turkish-PKK Peace Process Threatened by Renewed Fighting between the Syrian Army & Pro-Kurdish SDF              The sudden fighting in Aleppo between the Syrian army...

New National Security Strategy and Its Implications for U.S.–Türkiye Relations and Beyond

Trump’s New National Security Strategy (NSS): Its Implications for U.S.-Turkiye, Kurdish, and Middle East Relations Trump’s new National Security Strategy (NSS) abruptly posted in the middle...

Erdogan’s Roadmap Going Forward

Recep Tayyip Erdogan—Turkey’s longtime leader as prime minister (2003-2014) and subsequently as president (2014-)—infamously once declared that “democracy is like a train; you get...

Kurdish Identity and Recent Kurdish Issues

Two weeks ago, I again visited Iraqi Kurdistan—often referred to as the Iraqi Kurdistan Government (KRG)—to deliver the keynote address on “Kurdish Identity” at...

Turkey’s Renewed Balance-of-Power Policy

Turkey’s Renewed Balance-of-Power Policy among the Global Powers Arguably the superpower of the entire world in the sixteenth century under Sultan Suleiman the Magnificent, the...

Increasing Tension in The Caucasus

The Caucasus is a relatively small, but geostrategically significant region between the Black and Caspian Seas, athwart Europe and Asia, at the northern edge...

Turkish Mediation in the Ukrainian War

Although Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been roundly criticized by many observers including this one for backsliding on democracy in his own country,...

Recent Developments in Turkish Domestic Politics

  At least three developments are driving recent Turkish domestic politics. 1. The crackdown against President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s political opposition has become so severe ...

Is War Possible between Turkey & Israel?

Syria’s decade-long-plus civil war has weakened and divided it to the extent that Turkey from the north and Israel from the south have been...

The Implications of the New PKK Peace Process

  The first thing I will say is, “What peace process”? Maybe I am wrong. Indeed, I hope I am, but this so-called PKK peace...