The US

A NATO Win for Erdogan  

NATO’s Ankara Summit is over and, as expected, the winner is Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The Turkish host has a lot to be happy about.  First,...

NATO’s Out-of-Area Strategy

As is known, NATO is a military alliance established after the Second World War to protect the military security of the West against communism...

The Future for Turkey and the EU after the July NATO Ankara Summit

On July 7-8, 2026, Turkey will host what has become the annual NATO leaders’ summit. The event will take place this year at the...

The U.S.–Iran Deal and Turkey’s Strategic Reassessment: Hezbollah as a Buffer Against Israel

The initial agreement between the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran to end the recent war marks more than a temporary ceasefire....

Is the Regime in Iran endangered?

Demonstrations that began in Iran during the final two days of 2025 have continued, even if they appear to have lost some momentum. In...

Can Europe defend itself with Turkish help?

For all the efforts of European leaders to paper over frictions with Donald Trump, there has been no shortage of transatlantic drama over the...

Who Won the Battle for Hegemony —and Who Will Dominate the Middle East?

The current war in the Middle East cannot be understood merely as a military confrontation among Israel, the United States, and Iran. The central...

The Implications of Withdrawing US Troops from Abroad

As of early 2026, the U.S. had almost 170,000 active-duty troops stationed abroad in approximately 750 military bases located in some 178 different countries....

NATO in Question

Is NATO on the way out? The Trump administration seems to think so but is not shedding a tear all the same.   A...

How Trump and Netanyahu tried but failed to get the Iranian Kurds to join the US-Israel War against Iran

At the start of the now on-hold US-Israeli war against Iran on February 28, 2026, this author speculated on whether or not the United...

Turkey’s Strategic Neutrality in the US–Israel War Against Iran

Turkey’s Strategic Neutrality in the US–Israel War Against Iran*   The ongoing war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran presents a revealing case for understanding...

Iran’s Strategic Logic: Fuller, Nasr, and the Consequences of the 2026 War

  The dramatic escalation of tensions in the Middle East in recent years has renewed interest in a long-standing question: how should Iran’s foreign policy...

The climate impact of war

War is first and foremost a human tragedy. It results in devastating and unnecessary loss of life, disruption of families and communities, and the...

The Iran War, Europe and Turkey:  the Perils of Strategic Autonomy 

There is an old witticism, sometimes attributed to Leon Trostsky: “you might not be interested in war but war is interested in you.”  For...

Will the Iranian Kurds Enter The Iran War on The Side of The United States and Israel?  

Using The Kurds Again: Will the Iranian Kurds Enter The Iran War on The Side of The United States and Israel?   The United States...

The Stance of Turkey’s Political Parties in the face of the Israeli and U.S. Attack on Iran

To understand the stance of Turkey’s political class and society regarding the attacks on Iran, two main points must be examined: the fact that...

What About Iran’s Proxy Forces in Turkey?

What About Iran’s Proxy Forces in Turkey? Before the Iranian “mullah regime” collapses, it has already built a serious infrastructure inside Turkey—under Erdoğan’s protection—to reproduce...

What’s Behind the EU-India Lovefest? 

 “The paradox about the European Union’s position in the world is that it is both a giant and a dwarf.” Nearly two decades later,...

How do you de-risk from the US? 

  How do you de-risk from the US?  “This response to our own allies for sending a small number of troops to Greenland for training is...

 Europe, Turkey and US in 2026

A year ago,  Donald Trump entered office recommitting to “an America First” foreign policy. To many of his supporters that meant disengaging from the...

New National Security Strategy and Its Implications for U.S.–Türkiye Relations and Beyond

Trump’s New National Security Strategy (NSS): Its Implications for U.S.-Turkiye, Kurdish, and Middle East Relations Trump’s new National Security Strategy (NSS) abruptly posted in the middle...

The new US National Security Strategy will clash with reality

  It’s no secret that Donald Trump has a soft spot for Europe. He might not exactly be in love with the European Union (EU), ...

Turkey’s Recent Balance-of-Power Strategy

Erdogan’s September 2025 White House Visit: Its Impact on Turkey’s Recent Balance-of-Power Strategy On September 25, 2025, Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited U.S. president Donald...

How Rock-Solid is the UK-US “Special Relationship”?

It will not be an exaggeration that Donald Trump has turned upside down America’s  relations with Europe. From strong-arming NATO allies to commit to...

NATO’s Hague Summit: a Post-Mortem 

  Donald Trump must be feeling content after the summit NATO just wrapped up in The Hague.  “Very big news”.  That’s how he called the...

Europe’s New Geometry in the Age of Trump

A hundred days into Donald Trump’s second presidency, the contours of transatlantic relations have shifted dramatically. US foreign policy, once anchored in multilateralism, now...

The New Trump Administration’s Approach to Rojava and the Kurdish Issue

Despite his mercurial style, we probably can tell a lot about the new Donald Trump administration’s (Trump 2.0) approach to Rojava and the Kurdish...

The Collapse of Turkey’s Balance Policy and the Return to “Precious Loneliness”

The year 2024 may be recorded in history as the year when the balance policy, which has formed the backbone of Turkish foreign policy...

Rethinking the Value of Turkey in NATO

With Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Turkey's place in NATO has become even more critical in parallel with Europe's comprehension of how vital NATO is....

The US and Turkey relations: The returning of the Cold War 

The US and Turkey relations: The returning of the Cold War    While Joe Biden, as President, was in the White House, Turkey and US relations...